Author Archives: David Hume

Contingency & the nomination

In the comments on the post about Mike Huckabee winning the “Values Voter Summit” strawpoll there’s a lot of fear. I’m generally sanguine for two reasons: 1) A lot changes between now & then. 2) Populist candidates usually can’t override … Continue reading

Posted in data | Tagged | 3 Comments

Teen pregnancy, individual level variation

Someone else has done the GSS data-digging, and it looks like teen pregnancy is correlated with: 1) higher religious fundamentalism, and, 2) lower religious attendance. To see the full data & analysis you’ll need to pay $10. I want to … Continue reading

Posted in data | Tagged | 3 Comments

Teen birth rate, deviations from the trend….

Below in the comments I noted that a “quick & dirty” check of the data yielded an r-squared of 0.14 for the proportion of teen birth rate variance on the state level by the percentage of the state’s population that … Continue reading

Posted in data, Uncategorized | Tagged | 5 Comments

More old time religion, more teen births?

There’s a new paper out, Religiosity and teen birth rate in the United States, which describes the positive relationship between teen births and religious conservatism on the state level. How positive? Here’s the scatterplot:

Posted in culture | 23 Comments

Choices in the non-best of all worlds

I was struck that Arnold Kling recently admitted: My preference would be market-oriented health reform and the creation of real health insurance, which is bought by individuals and covers only insurable events (unexpected high expenses). But if it comes down … Continue reading

Posted in politics | Tagged | 17 Comments

The Commanding Heights

U.S. Is Finding Its Role in Business Hard to Unwind: But one year after the collapse of Lehman Brothers set off a series of federal interventions, the government is the nation’s biggest lender, insurer, automaker and guarantor against risk for … Continue reading

Posted in culture, economics, history, politics | Tagged | 1 Comment

The Big Lie

Am I the only one whose cynicism about politicians and the American public has been exhausted by the extent of the popular delusions and knowing falsehoods which are emerging during the whole “healthcare debate”? It is interesting to listen to … Continue reading

Posted in culture, politics | Tagged | 18 Comments

Libertarians vs. statists

In a post below, Anthony asks: Does the GSS or any other large poll have sufficient data to do this for the population at large? How to classify “libertarian” and “statist” is difficult in the GSS. After all, libertarians in … Continue reading

Posted in culture, data | Tagged | 7 Comments

Patterns in politics, liberal, conservative, statist & libertarian

Reading around the web I stumbled upon National Journal‘s ubiquitous ratings of how liberal or conservative various politicians are in the domains of social, economic and foreign policy. Using the 2008 data for the House of Representatives, here are the … Continue reading

Posted in data | Tagged , , , , | 5 Comments

Necessity and sufficiency of an organic movement

John Henke’s post Organizing Against WorldNetDaily has prompted some response in the blogosphere. This Conor Friedersdorf post is the second contribution he has made to the discussion. Much of the debate has revolved around the intellectual/elite vs. populist dimension. Because … Continue reading

Posted in culture, politics | Tagged | 5 Comments