Breaking News: Europe hates Bush

Neocon Europe-bashing, especially its theocon chapter, always produced in me an opposite, possibly equally kneejerk, reaction.  Europe’s reluctance to start wars was an understandable and hardly blameworthy reaction to its 20th century bloodbaths, I thought, its secularism a welcome development, and its high level of middle-class safety net spending  its own business (which does not seem to have hurt Germany in the current global recession). 

But this preposterous Nobel Peace award, which represents nothing more than a self-indulgent kick-in-the-butt to George Bush,  makes me think that  the Europhobes were on to something.

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Creationism litmus test?

Tim Pawlenty says:

GOV. PAWLENTY: We’ve said in Minnesota, in my view, this is a local decision. Intelligent design is something that, in my view, is plausible and credible and something that I personally believe in but, more importantly, from an educational and scientific standpoint, it should be decided by local school boards at the local school district level.

The problem with local school boards is that when they go for this stuff, like in Dover, PA, they don’t generally slant toward anodyne Intelligent Design shorn of its sectarian connotations. This is why the Discovery Institute worked to disassociate themselves from the Dover School District.

In any case, I’m on the record as saying that predictions for 2012 are very premature. But, it looks like 3 of the front-runners for the G.O.P. nomination are rather frank Creationists (Palin, Huckabee and Pawlenty). I’m skeptical about any of these as likely candidates (i.e., if you had to make a bet you’re going to be surprised), but if you keep adding individuals to the list it seems likely that we’re looking at a serious probability that the G.O.P. nominee in 2012 will be a Creationist.

Creationism doesn’t really have the same valence as abortion as a “culture war” issue, but, it is useful in being a distinctive marker for social conservative candidates. Mitt Romney is now notionally as pro-life as the social conservatives, but it seems unlikely that he’ll flip his position on evolution since he expressed himself so explicitly in the 2008 debates.

Posted in culture | Tagged | 59 Comments

Where are SR readers coming from?

The ranks for 2009 from Google Analytics. “Direct” means people who come directly to the site (e.g., bookmarks), while “referral” is from sites like Andrew Sullivan or Hot Air.
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Best Painting Ever?

Well, perhaps not, but in its splendid (interactive!) way, one of the more entertaining.

H/t: The Daily Dish

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The philosophers as types

I don’t know what to make of this David Brooks column, Bentham vs. Hume. I will say that the main reason I lean Right is a suspicion of the efficacy of managerial technocracy. And I speak as someone who is positively inclined toward scatterplots & regression.

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It’s better in Europe (again)

Hendrik Hertzberg in The New Yorker, A SOCIAL DEMOCRATIC SIGH:

Furthermore, it’s not as if German conservatives are a bunch of crazy far-right nihilists. This is not the Republicans we’re talking about. Both the CDU and the FDP recognize the urgency of global warming. Neither of them has a problem with gays. (The FDP’s leader, soon to be foreign minister, is the country’s other openly gay political bigwig.) Nor do they have a problem with allowing a woman to end a pregnancy if she feels she must, or with telling kids to use condoms if they can’t resist having sex, or with the theory of evolution, or with gun control—or, for that matter, with “socialism.”

People have “schema” which they use to organize their models of the world. In many ways conservative parties in Europe, in particular on the Continent, are oriented in what to an American would seem to be a socialist direction. Social insurance famously began under the Prussian junker Otto von Bismarck as a pragmatic measure. But life is more complicated than simply shifting the political spectrum to the Left. Note that the dominant conservative parties in Germany are called the Christian Democratic Union and the Christian Social Union. Their basis of support are among Catholics and conservative Protestants, and their connection to religious sentiment goes back to the old Catholic Centre Party. Therefore, it should not surprise that Hertzberg’s glib assessment is a bit misleading:
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Foundations Of Faith

More reinforcement for the idea that religious belief is a sort of overspill from key brain adaptations — adaptations that were selected for improved social functioning.

We got better at being social animals by evolving brain processes for guessing our way into other people’s minds. Those processes unfortunately overlapped with older structures for handling the physical world. Hence:

Tongues in trees, books in the running brooks,
Sermons in stones, and good in everything.

I’m curious to know how a religious person processes these news items from cognitive science.

Obviously the fact that the varieties of religious experience can be explained from brain phylogeny does not exclude the possibility that religious experiences are apprehending something that exists as other than brain events, something real in the world outside the skull. Binocular vision has an explanatory pathway from brain phylogeny, but the things we see are real (mostly).

Yet if the possibility isn’t excluded, isn’t it at least weakened? Do religious people feel this? Well, I’m sure they don’t! — but what do they feel? Perhaps one of them could tell us.

Posted in Science & Faith | 28 Comments

The Bright Side of Being Blue

I’m going to assume here that all readers of Secular Right are deep enthralled in their copies of  We Are Doomed: Reclaiming Conservative Pessimism.   That would be the top copy, I mean, of the five you purchased as gifts for family and friends.

One infuriating thing about writing a nonfiction book that uses data from recent research (in my case, from the human sciences) is that some reinforcing research will appear just too late for inclusion.

Well, here I am in Chapter 7 of WAD:

Researchers like S. Taylor and J. Brown (Illusion and Well-Being, 1988) have found that a moderate degree of self-deception is normal in mentally healthy people, and is likely adaptive. Contrariwise:  “[I]t appears to be not the well-adjusted individual but the individual who experiences subjective distress who is more likely to process self-relevant information in a relatively unbiased and balanced fashion.”

To put it slightly differently: up to a point, the more depressed and maladjusted you are, the more likely it is that you are seeing things right, with minimal bias.

Or differently again: For a happy and well-adjusted life, practice self-deception. If it’s the cold, unvarnished truth you want, seek out a melancholy pessimist. (Which, if you are reading this book, is what you have done.)

No sooner is that out in print than I hear about a paper by behavioral geneticist Paul Andrews titled “The Bright Side of Being Blue.” Andrews goes further down the road opened up by Taylor & Brown (and many others he cites), arguing that depression is not a pathology at all, and may actually be adaptive!

In summary, we hypothesize that depression is a stress response mechanism: (1) that is triggered by analytically difficult problems that influence important fitness-related goals; (2) that coordinates changes in body systems to promote sustained analysis of the triggering problem, otherwise known as depressive rumination; (3) that helps people generate and evaluate potential solutions to the triggering problem; and (4) that makes tradeoffs with other goals in order to promote analysis of the triggering problem, including reduced accuracy on laboratory tasks. Collectively, we refer to this suite of claims as the analytical rumination (AR) hypothesis.

I coulda used that for my book. Of course, we melancholy depressives knew it anyway!

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The silent treatment

I keep waiting for the doughty advocates of “increasing health insurance competition by more government regulation” (that may or may not include a public option) to explain why insurance should not be available across state lines.  Not only is this reform missing from Democrat proposals, the reason why it is missing remains completely off-stage.  I’d like to hear some rationale for so limiting the insurance market, even if it’s a specious one.

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The possible limits of power

Ten experts polled by the New York Times present their advice for winning in Afghanistan.  Suggestions include “a genuine run-off election,” “empowering local pashtuns” by “political and economic means,” creating a “functioning local justice system with courts, lawyers and jails,” and “establishing strict accountability mechanisms for high officials.”  Such nation-building measures are noble, worthy aims.  They may well be necessary to achieving our ends in Afghanistan and achieving our ends in Afghanistan may well be necessary to controlling Al Qaeda terrorism.  But necessary does not always mean doable, especially by a military determined not to colonize a country.  The preconditions for a responsive, relatively honest government and a stable civil society take centuries to evolve.  Perhaps if we acted like actual colonizers and unapologetically took over the machinery of government we could remake these tribal lands in a direction more like representative democracy.  But we cannot figure out how to change underclass culture in the U.S. and lower the out-of-wedlock birthrate among ghetto residents, or reduce corruption in New Jersey and Chicago.  Changing the dynamics of power in Afghanistan is obviously far more difficult, however imperative it might be to do so.

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