Intrade probability of the House of Representatives going to the Republicans:
Policy consequences?
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Meta
Ah, good news–especially since these polls underestimate Republican performance a bit (when the polls say it is even, in the actual election, the GOP does a bit better)
Policy consequences?
“card check” is done for the near future, possibly forever
cap and trade isn’t coming soon
Obamacare won’t be repealed (dammit!)
no amne-I mean “comprehensive immigration reform”
the Bush tax cuts will be mostly extended
Obama will still get to appoint awful judges and apologize for everything America has ever done, real or imagined
and the best part is, we probably won’t take the Senate, so the public will still see Obama as “in charge” even though he can’t do much. Anything bad that happens will still be blamed on him.
Split government works best.
There are a huge number of Governor elections too.
I think Governors, specifically the Republican Governors Coalition, will be the basis for real change – it wont happen in DC.
http://www.rga.org/homepage/about/why-the-comeback-begins-here/
Wow, that really is a cratering. But it’s more reflective of the Democrat’s repulsiveness, not the GOP’s attraction. There is not detectable sign that they’ve learned a single thing from 2006 and 2008.