Notes

The post on Creationism & potential Republican candidates is getting a lot of linkage. A quick note, the title was a bit hyperbolic. I am simply suggesting that from where we stand today the power of the Christian Right has waxed within the Republican party, not declined as some in the media were suggesting a few years ago. The reason is simple: the party has contracted over the past few years, while the Christian Right has remained loyal. There were comments below to the effect that policy considerations are much more important than abstract ideas. The issue with Creationism is that those who accept this view are often smart, they simply invest more authority in the evangelical Protestant intellectual counter-culture (though on average they are less intelligent). That worries me. Obviously a particular combination of policies and beliefs would lead to different assessments of a candidate’s viability to different individuals. Many of Ron Paul’s enthusiastic supporters backed him not because of 100% agreement with all his views, including his skepticism of evolution, but because of core substantive agreement with is policy prescriptions. On the other hand, some weird beliefs probably would serve as a way to filter out genuine loonies who rely on non-mainstream sources of knowledge. In regards to “weird,” your mileage may vary. I would, for example, support a pro-life politician who accepted evolution over a pro-choice one who rejected it despite my generally pro-choice stance on abortion (according to the GSS around 10% of the population rejects evolution and accepts abortion on demand, so the latter combination is not impossible).

Second, Hendrik Hertzberg of The New Yorker is a gentleman indeed, he points to my observation that his characterization of German Social Democrats was a bit off, and admits that I was correct and that he was wrong. Refreshing. The best thing about blogging about science is that you are quite often wrong, or other people are quite often wrong, and wrongess isn’t a shameful state to be in. Nice to see that facts have some effect even in the subjective world of political blogging!

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Magical thinking watch: foreign policy chapter

The Obama Administration is bruiting it about that the president is impatient with the slow pace of “nation-building” in Afghanistan, reports the New York Times.  Nine months (Obama’s White House tenure)–or, hey, call it even eight years (since the bombing began)–has not been enough time to lessen corruption, establish a viable government and court system, or train the feckless police force.

“The president is not satisfied on any of this,” said a senior administration official.

So they really are that ignorant–i.e., as ignorant as the Bush nation-builders.  The culture of a non-self-serving civil service, as much as we rightly deride bureaucratic bloat, is a triumph of civilization that takes centuries to evolve.  Ditto the practice of due process of law.   Of course, nation-building in Afghanistan is no more unlikely a foreign policy accomplishment than ending poverty in Africa.  Declare one undoable and a proper application of logic would bring the whole naive edifice down.   But maybe one step at a time is all one can hope for.

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We Are Doomed Reviewed

In Wall Street Journal today, favorably–one would like to say, “of course,” but these things are tricky.

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Dead political religions

I recently read The Rise and Fall of Communism by Archie Brown. This is a general survey which runs roughly from the late 19th century down to the present day. Though there was a focus on the Soviet Union (for obvious reasons), Brown sheds light on the rise and fall of Communist movements the world over. He has a great deal of first hand knowledge as a visiting scholar in the Eastern Bloc during the Cold War, so there was an aspect of first-person reportage strewn across the narrative which made this a more lively read than a typical work of political scholarship. Much recommended. Three points which I thought were interesting:

1) Stalin was explicitly self-conscious about the fact that he was fostering a quasi-religious cult based around his own personality as a messianic and god-like figure. His perspective on the history of the Russian Empire was that only with this sort of mystical charisma could the Soviet system persist. To some extent the wind-down and decline of the Soviet system in the more oligarchic and colorless post-Stalin era seem to support his contention. The Communist states with cults of personality have persisted in more unreconstructed fashion than those without, North Korea and to a lesser extent Cuba. In contrast, Communist states predicated on party control and a more oligarchic power structure, such as China, Vietnam and Laos, are Communist in name only (as opposed to being more generally authoritarian).

2) The peculiarities of Mikhail Gorbachev’s personality seem to be one of those contingencies which changed the arc of events, at least for a time. In all probability the Soviet system would have had to evolve into something different due to economic forces, but Gorbachev’s influence likely hastened the shift by preventing the party from serving as a check on reform in the late 1980s. Additionally, his rejection of the use of force in Eastern Europe during the late 1980s was decisive in the relatively peaceful and seamless transition which occurred (there is scholarship which argues that in fact Soviet operatives aided and precipitated the Velvet Revolution in the Czech Republic). I recall as a child in the 1980s being perplexed by this figure who was the leader of the enemy of the West, as were my teachers (let’s just say Gorbachev really ruined many lesson plan templates). We were conditioned to be wary of the intentions, motives and means of any Soviet head of state. A friend recently suggested that Gorbachev’s ascendancy to the position of Secretary General of the Communist party was analogous to a closet atheist becoming the Pope. The reality is that after all these years the deeper roots of Gorbachev’s behavior and actions remain a cipher for many, as evidenced by persistent rumors that he is a believing Christian. He denies this and avows his atheism, which I think we should accept as likely a true reflection of his beliefs seeing as how most post-Soviet political figures have converted to Russian Orthodoxy (both Boris Yeltsin and Vladimir Putin converted after the fall of Communism, as have many other prominent figures such as the mayor of Moscow, Yury Luzhkov).

3) Nice to be reminded in concrete terms how important price signals are.

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Nice animals

Conservative pundits occasionally imply that other-directed human virtues, such as charity, compassion, and mercy, came on the scene only thanks to Christianity.  No one has ever shown hospitality to a stranger or helped survivors of an earthquake in other cultures, it would seem. 

St. Francis’s sermons to the animals must have really stuck, because our furry and feathered friends have at least one of those allegedly unique Christian virtues,  according to Frans de Waal.  His book, The Age of Empathy, describes “Bengal tigers that nurse piglets, bonopo apes that help wounded birds to fly, seals that rescue drowning dogs, [and] a rhesus monkey [that] will forego the opportunity for food if pulling the chain that delivers it will electrically shock a companion,”  writes Andrew Stark in the Wall Street Journal.  Humans’ far more complex moral sense is rooted in our self-awareness and the awareness of our place in a social order, but the evolution of that moral sense long predated Christianity.

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Ice People Club

Is there, as some commentators have claimed, affirmative action at work in the awarding of Nobel Prizes?

If there is, it has been almost entirely restricted to the Peace Prize in recent years. The Nobel Committee publishes a year-by-year list of winners, with photographs and clues to nationality, here. Scanning back through the last ten years, I get the following headcounts.

I have used the Ice People / Sun People schema of We Are Doomed, with Europeans and East Asians as Ice People, Africans and Amerindians as Sun People. Subcontinental Asians I have cut crudely, with Moslems as honorary Sun People and non-Muslims as honorary Ice People. It’s a fair balance, I think, and doesn’t actually make much difference to the numbers.

Here we go. For each year I list the six Nobel categories in order:  Physics, Chemistry, Medicine, Literature, Peace, and Economics. The score in each box is Ice People / Sun People, so “2-0” means two Ice People and no Sun People.

Year Phys Chem Med Lit Peace Econ
2009 3-0 3-0 3-0 1-0 0-1 TBA
2008 3-0 3-0 3-0 1-0 1-0 1-0
2007 2-0 1-0 3-0 1-0 1-0 3-0
2006 2-0 1-0 2-0 1-0 0-1 1-0
2005 3-0 3-0 3-0 1-0 0-1 2-0
2004 3-0 3-0 2-0 1-0 0-1 2-0
2003 3-0 2-0 2-0 1-0 0-1 2-0
2002 3-0 3-0 3-0 1-0 1-0 1-0
2001 3-0 3-0 3-0 1-0 0-1 3-0
2000 3-0 3-0 3-0 1-0 1-0 2-0

That gives us totals of 28-0 for Physics, 25-0 for Chemistry, 27-0 for Medicine, 10-0 for Literature, 4-6 for Peace, 17-0 for Economics.

There are some gray patches. The guy from Mauritius may be a Muslim, for all I know — one-sixth of Mauritians are. It doesn’t make much difference. The Nobel Prize looks awfully like an Ice People club, and those earnest Scandinavians feel terrible about it.

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The doctor made me not do it

We need to induce doctors to practice preventive, not just reactive, care!  is a favored nostrum in the current health care debate.  I’ve yet to hear an example of what this means.  Prevention lies overwhelmingly within the realm of individual behavior, but our modern reflex of transferring agency from favored victim groups—in this case, millions of artery-clogged, waddling Americans—onto less-favored entities guarantees that we see the problems of Fat America as the failure of doctors to practice the right kind of medicine.  Perhaps more doctors could counsel their patients to exercise and avoid over-eating, but my guess is that if they stay silent on these topics, it is from hard-won experience regarding the futility of such suggestions.   As for other types of “preventive medicine,” it has been said repeatedly that doctors run too many diagnostic tests out of pecuniary motives (or, alternatively, as lawsuit protection), but such tests presumably have some preventive uses.  Where medicine truly has preventive power, as in inoculations against polio and other once epidemic diseases, it has been marvelously effective.

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An advantage of polytheism

The Pope announced during his Angelus broadcast last Sunday that he was “imploring God to relieve the pain” of the survivors of  a recent flood in Sicily and of the recent earthquake in Indonesia, according to RAI International.  Such an expression of sympathy after a tragedy by appealing to divine solace is a vital and noble function of religion. 

But the paradox of religious belief, it seems to me, is that the need to believe in a loving, sheltering  God is strongest at precisely the moment when such a belief is most counterfactual: after a particularly devastating tragedy that a loving, sheltering God could have averted.  This paradox does not much trouble believers: after a collective disaster, they troop off to church to worship and request assistance from the God who has allowed the devastation to occur. Continue reading

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Contacting about a post or story

Most of you probably know this, but SR’s email address is contact -at- secularright.org. If you have a story or post you think might interest, feel free to send it along. No guarantee of linkage/commentary, but it happens.

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Political spectrum

Arkady of Right Condition has a new “political spectrum” up:

PoliticalSpectrum

This strikes me as a libertarian-centric spectrum. That’s fine as it goes, all “spectrums” or “typologies” are selective in what parameters they use to generate categories. The main issue with a libertarian-centric one I would have is that so few people are libertarian.

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