{"id":5000,"date":"2010-11-01T20:37:11","date_gmt":"2010-11-01T20:37:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/?p=5000"},"modified":"2010-11-01T20:37:11","modified_gmt":"2010-11-01T20:37:11","slug":"the-palin-fundamentals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/the-palin-fundamentals\/","title":{"rendered":"The Palin Fundamentals"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In your heart you know he could be right, <a href=\"http:\/\/yglesias.thinkprogress.org\/\">The Conservative Establishment\u2019s Addiction to Tactics<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;John McCain was a widely admired war hero with a reputation for moderation who had favorable ratings well over 50 percent on Election Day and<b> he lost to a first-term senator with a black nationalist spiritual mentor. <\/b>Palin isn\u2019t the most formidable candidate out there, and in a very close election her flaws could easily deny the GOP the White House. And very close elections do happen\u2014think how important the 2000 presidential election was in retrospect. But most elections aren\u2019t that close, and if the fundamentals are strongly against Obama\u2014which they may be\u2014Palin will beat him.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I have a friend who was active in conservative punditry up until the spring of 2008. He basically realized that he had no idea what was going on when Barack Obama beat Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primaries. His own model, and 20 years of personal investment in research and analysis, indicated that the Clinton machine was just going to steamroll. Obviously Obama refuted the solidity of his model of the world in a really deep sense, and he decided to focus less on day to day politics, and more on bigger picture policy issues. The point is that <b>in some ways there&#8217;s a lot more uncertainty here than we&#8217;d like to admit.<\/b> The Republicans have modestly higher unfavorables right now than the Democrats, but they&#8217;ll still win big anyway. There&#8217;s always a first for everything.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In your heart you know he could be right, The Conservative Establishment\u2019s Addiction to Tactics: &#8230;John McCain was a widely admired war hero with a reputation for moderation who had favorable ratings well over 50 percent on Election Day and &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/the-palin-fundamentals\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mi_skip_tracking":false},"categories":[15],"tags":[279],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5000"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5000"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5000\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5001,"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5000\/revisions\/5001"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5000"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5000"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/secularright.org\/SR\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5000"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}